The Stavropol region contributed approximately 8% to Russia’s 82.6 million-metric-ton wheat harvest in 2024, a year already impacted by adverse weather conditions ranging from early spring frosts to severe droughts. Analysts are closely monitoring these weather fluctuations, as events like frosts, cold spells, and hailstorms could necessitate adjustments to the forecasts for the 2025 harvest.

In response to the current conditions, Russia’s Agriculture Ministry indicated that if the 2025 harvest yields are lower than anticipated, the government is prepared to implement “non-tariff measures,” which could include export restrictions. The Russian Grain Union has warned that in extreme drought scenarios, the grain harvest could decrease by up to 30% from the previous year’s levels.

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Hailstorm hits Russia’s third-largest wheat producing region